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Prediction markets
13 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$3.89M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$210
67 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
27%
chance
Yes
No
$876K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$93
49 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
3%
5 more
$1.59M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$2.15M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$154
61 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
99%
20-40
2%
3 more
$291K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 13
22%
August 26
22%
32 more
$60K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$114
52 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?
50-74
57%
25-49
28%
3 more
$20K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
42 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
56%
December
18%
5 more
$151K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
45 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
44%
chance
Yes
No
$97K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$57
51 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
99%
285M
86%
4 more
$30K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 27?
<200
89%
200-219
23%
2 more
$2.9K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
38 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
July 31
99%
August 31
99%
1 more
$64K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
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