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Prediction markets
10 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
AI / Artificial Intelligence
99%
Productivity
99%
36 more
$134K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
89%
September Meeting
86%
3 more
$1.72M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
64 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
82%
Pause–Pause–Pause
39%
7 more
$631K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
63 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
25%
Yes
No
1
26%
Yes
No
$61K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
54 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
46%
2 (50 bps)
40%
4 more
$69K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
42 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
76%
25 bps increase
29%
3 more
$363K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
48 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
86%
Pause–Pause–Pause
28%
7 more
$583K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
47 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$5.8K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$235
44 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$457.43
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
39 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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